Real NSE backtest · after charges

9 / 15 EMA Strategy Success Rate: Real NSE Backtest

On 15 large NIFTY 50 stocks, from 2025-09-30 to 2026-09-30, the 9 / 15 EMA strategy took 6,432 trades and won 24.8% of them. After brokerage, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fees, stamp duty and GST, a ₹1,00,000 account lost money: −₹75,468 (−75.5%). Just holding the same stocks returned −10.7%.

Trades
6,432
1,592 won · 4,840 lost
Success rate (trades won)
24.8%
Profit factor 0.49
Result after charges
−₹75,468
−75.5% on ₹1,00,000
Biggest fall
−75.5%
from the account's peak
Charges paid
₹68,138
brokerage, STT, GST and more
Just holding the stocks
−10.7%
price move only, no charges

One ₹1,00,000 account shared by all 15 stocks, up to 5 trades at once (20% of the account each), 5-minute candles, stop loss and target as in the rules below, 0.01% slippage, all Indian charges. Stocks: RELIANCE, HDFCBANK, ICICIBANK, INFY, TCS, SBIN, BHARTIARTL, ITC, LT, AXISBANK, KOTAKBANK, HINDUNILVR, MARUTI, SUNPHARMA, BAJFINANCE.

9 / 15 EMA strategy backtest: stock by stock

StockTradesWonResult after charges
MARUTI4922%−₹887
BAJFINANCE21030%−₹1,497
LT32230%−₹1,878
AXISBANK35928%−₹2,862
KOTAKBANK30528%−₹3,225
HINDUNILVR26624%−₹3,457
SUNPHARMA35423%−₹3,938
TCS46727%−₹4,850
SBIN47123%−₹5,337
ITC50323%−₹5,912
BHARTIARTL51323%−₹7,109
INFY56825%−₹7,197
ICICIBANK63222%−₹8,380
HDFCBANK68023%−₹9,006
RELIANCE73324%−₹9,932

The 9 / 15 EMA strategy rules we tested

Also called: 9 and 15 EMA scalping strategy, 9/15 EMA crossover.

These are the exact rules we ran. Versions taught elsewhere may differ (where the stop goes, the candle size, extra filters), and a different version can give a different result. Change any of these in the Backtest Lab and run your own version.

9 / 15 EMA strategy win rate, accuracy and success rate: questions people ask

What is the success rate of the 9 / 15 EMA strategy?

In our 12-month test on 15 NIFTY 50 stocks (2025-09-30 to 2026-09-30) it won 24.8% of 6,432 trades. Success rate alone can mislead: after all charges the account lost money (−75.5%).

Is the 9 / 15 EMA strategy profitable after charges?

In this test, no: −₹75,468 on ₹1,00,000 after brokerage, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fees, stamp duty and GST (charges paid: ₹68,138). Results change with the stocks, period and settings.

Why do videos claim 80–90% accuracy for the 9 / 15 EMA strategy?

Most claims count a few hand-picked trades, skip charges and slippage, or call a trade a win before it closes. A backtest takes every signal the rules give, on many stocks, and pays every charge.

How can I backtest the 9 / 15 EMA strategy myself?

Open it in LeadFinn's Backtest Lab (/backtest?template=ema_9_15_cross) and run it on any NSE stock or basket, period and candle size. You can change the stop loss, target, trade size and charges.

More strategy backtests on NSE

Past results do not promise future returns. This is research, not advice. Numbers refresh when this page is rebuilt; the Backtest Lab always runs on the latest candles.