Real NSE backtest · after charges

Previous Day High / Low Breakout Strategy Success Rate: Real NSE Backtest

On 15 large NIFTY 50 stocks, from 2025-09-30 to 2026-09-30, the Previous Day High / Low Breakout strategy took 1,620 trades and won 41.5% of them. After brokerage, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fees, stamp duty and GST, a ₹1,00,000 account lost money: −₹28,286 (−28.3%). Just holding the same stocks returned −10.5%.

Trades
1,620
673 won · 947 lost
Success rate (trades won)
41.5%
Profit factor 0.73
Result after charges
−₹28,286
−28.3% on ₹1,00,000
Biggest fall
−28.4%
from the account's peak
Charges paid
₹27,854
brokerage, STT, GST and more
Just holding the stocks
−10.5%
price move only, no charges

One ₹1,00,000 account shared by all 15 stocks, up to 5 trades at once (20% of the account each), 15-minute candles, stop loss and target as in the rules below, 0.01% slippage, all Indian charges. Stocks: RELIANCE, HDFCBANK, ICICIBANK, INFY, TCS, SBIN, BHARTIARTL, ITC, LT, AXISBANK, KOTAKBANK, HINDUNILVR, MARUTI, SUNPHARMA, BAJFINANCE.

Previous Day High / Low Breakout strategy backtest: stock by stock

StockTradesWonResult after charges
ITC9951%+₹2,215
SUNPHARMA8644%−₹441
BHARTIARTL9943%−₹977
HINDUNILVR9642%−₹1,207
ICICIBANK12643%−₹1,305
SBIN11146%−₹1,327
BAJFINANCE8439%−₹1,436
LT10242%−₹1,947
AXISBANK9945%−₹1,949
TCS13039%−₹2,419
HDFCBANK12740%−₹2,586
INFY12942%−₹2,820
MARUTI9639%−₹3,662
RELIANCE13935%−₹3,871
KOTAKBANK9736%−₹4,555

The Previous Day High / Low Breakout strategy rules we tested

Also called: PDH PDL breakout strategy, yesterday high low breakout.

These are the exact rules we ran. Versions taught elsewhere may differ (where the stop goes, the candle size, extra filters), and a different version can give a different result. Change any of these in the Backtest Lab and run your own version.

Previous Day High / Low Breakout strategy win rate, accuracy and success rate: questions people ask

What is the success rate of the Previous Day High / Low Breakout strategy?

In our 12-month test on 15 NIFTY 50 stocks (2025-09-30 to 2026-09-30) it won 41.5% of 1,620 trades. Success rate alone can mislead: after all charges the account lost money (−28.3%).

Is the Previous Day High / Low Breakout strategy profitable after charges?

In this test, no: −₹28,286 on ₹1,00,000 after brokerage, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fees, stamp duty and GST (charges paid: ₹27,854). Results change with the stocks, period and settings.

Why do videos claim 80–90% accuracy for the Previous Day High / Low Breakout strategy?

Most claims count a few hand-picked trades, skip charges and slippage, or call a trade a win before it closes. A backtest takes every signal the rules give, on many stocks, and pays every charge.

How can I backtest the Previous Day High / Low Breakout strategy myself?

Open it in LeadFinn's Backtest Lab (/backtest?template=prev_day_high_low_breakout) and run it on any NSE stock or basket, period and candle size. You can change the stop loss, target, trade size and charges.

More strategy backtests on NSE

Past results do not promise future returns. This is research, not advice. Numbers refresh when this page is rebuilt; the Backtest Lab always runs on the latest candles.