Real NSE backtest · after charges

5 EMA Strategy Success Rate: Real NSE Backtest

On 15 large NIFTY 50 stocks, from 2025-09-30 to 2026-09-30, the 5 EMA strategy took 7,433 trades and won 35.4% of them. After brokerage, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fees, stamp duty and GST, a ₹1,00,000 account lost money: −₹84,445 (−84.4%). Just holding the same stocks returned −10.7%.

Trades
7,433
2,632 won · 4,801 lost
Success rate (trades won)
35.4%
Profit factor 0.38
Result after charges
−₹84,445
−84.4% on ₹1,00,000
Biggest fall
−84.4%
from the account's peak
Charges paid
₹66,169
brokerage, STT, GST and more
Just holding the stocks
−10.7%
price move only, no charges

One ₹1,00,000 account shared by all 15 stocks, up to 5 trades at once (20% of the account each), 5-minute candles, stop loss and target as in the rules below, 0.01% slippage, all Indian charges. Stocks: RELIANCE, HDFCBANK, ICICIBANK, INFY, TCS, SBIN, BHARTIARTL, ITC, LT, AXISBANK, KOTAKBANK, HINDUNILVR, MARUTI, SUNPHARMA, BAJFINANCE.

5 EMA strategy backtest: stock by stock

StockTradesWonResult after charges
MARUTI2429%−₹1,030
BAJFINANCE17039%−₹1,684
HINDUNILVR23037%−₹1,819
SUNPHARMA20137%−₹1,943
LT27240%−₹1,969
AXISBANK28040%−₹2,442
ITC35435%−₹3,475
KOTAKBANK23934%−₹3,742
BHARTIARTL46536%−₹3,820
TCS63037%−₹6,788
SBIN52533%−₹7,181
INFY72338%−₹9,343
ICICIBANK90136%−₹9,891
HDFCBANK112934%−₹13,559
RELIANCE129032%−₹15,759

The 5 EMA strategy rules we tested

Also called: Power of Stocks 5 EMA strategy, 5 EMA alert candle strategy.

These are the exact rules we ran. Versions taught elsewhere may differ (where the stop goes, the candle size, extra filters), and a different version can give a different result. Change any of these in the Backtest Lab and run your own version.

5 EMA strategy win rate, accuracy and success rate: questions people ask

What is the success rate of the 5 EMA strategy?

In our 12-month test on 15 NIFTY 50 stocks (2025-09-30 to 2026-09-30) it won 35.4% of 7,433 trades. Success rate alone can mislead: after all charges the account lost money (−84.4%).

Is the 5 EMA strategy profitable after charges?

In this test, no: −₹84,445 on ₹1,00,000 after brokerage, STT, exchange fees, SEBI fees, stamp duty and GST (charges paid: ₹66,169). Results change with the stocks, period and settings.

Why do videos claim 80–90% accuracy for the 5 EMA strategy?

Most claims count a few hand-picked trades, skip charges and slippage, or call a trade a win before it closes. A backtest takes every signal the rules give, on many stocks, and pays every charge.

How can I backtest the 5 EMA strategy myself?

Open it in LeadFinn's Backtest Lab (/backtest?template=ema_5_alert_candle) and run it on any NSE stock or basket, period and candle size. You can change the stop loss, target, trade size and charges.

More strategy backtests on NSE

Past results do not promise future returns. This is research, not advice. Numbers refresh when this page is rebuilt; the Backtest Lab always runs on the latest candles.